These are notes on prospects from lead prospect analyst Eric Longenhagen. Learn earlier installments here.
That is the type of factor you wish to see from a man who clearly underwent a swing change final 12 months however wasn’t capable of play in precise video games to point out us if it was going to have a significant influence. In reality, when Duran went to Puerto Rico for winter ball after spending the summer time on the alt web site, he did not hit for energy there as nicely. Now he already has three homers in 2021, which is simply two shy of his single-season profession excessive. As he’s doing this, Duran can be hanging out 33% of the time, a far cry from the ultra-low charges that helped make him a prospect within the first place. It’s uncommon for a prospect this outdated to be such a high-variance participant. We’re all studying about how Duran’s swing change goes to change his output in actual time.
It was good to see García bounce again after his final begin was a seven-walk clunker. Most of his strikeouts on this one got here by way of fastballs on the high of the strike zone, whereas his curveball has grow to be a weapon with which he will get forward of hitters. It’s truthful to doubt whether or not García can take a five- or six-inning turning each 5 days utilizing this strategy to pitching, along with the old-fashioned scouting questions on his dimension.
It’s not usually that massive convention school performers are divisive amongst drafting groups, however Detmers’ lack of fastball velocity (he sat 88-92 at Louisville) was regarding to a few of them. Positive, he had 4 well-defined pitches, terrific command, and a observe file of success in opposition to massive convention hitters, however it’s uncommon for giant league starters to solely throw 90 and be ok that you just really feel completely satisfied to have drafted them early within the first spherical. Properly, Detmers has had an enormous velo spike. He sat 93-95 and touched 97 final night time. It’s the second begin in a row the place he’s averaged near 94. The brand new velocity could be a part of why Detmers was uncharacteristically wild in his first begin. If Detmers can a) maintain this velo into the summer time and b) begin to wield it with the identical precision he did in school over the subsequent a number of weeks, he’ll transfer into the Prime 100. We put Detmers on our Picks to Click extra with the expectation that he’d present that his stuff performs although it isn’t all that agency, somewhat than as a result of he’d immediately throw within the mid-90s.
Danner burst onto the scouting scene after his sophomore 12 months of highschool, exhibiting low-90s stuff and a 3 pitch combine with the look of a future excessive decide as a pitcher. His stuff by no means actually ticked up although, and over time scouts noticed him behind the plate (the place he performed when he wasn’t pitching) and started to love him long-term as a catching prospect. Finally, the Jays took Danner within the second spherical of the 2017 draft as a catcher. After three seasons of catching, he’s again on the mound and throwing more durable than ever earlier than. To date this 12 months he has been 95-97 with an influence mid-80s slider. I’ve added him to the Blue Jays listing over on The Board. Presently within the 40 FV tier, Danner may find yourself within the 35+ tier if he’s wild all through the summer time and appears extra like an up/down reliever, or he may finish the season within the 40+ tier if he holds this new stuff and appears able to working higher-leverage innings. He must be added to the 40-man this offseason so count on to see him in Toronto subsequent 12 months if this continues.
Different Notable Performances: Marlins prospect Zach McCambley, he of the best curveball within the 2020 draft, threw seven excellent innings as a part of Beliot’s mixed one-hit shutout of the South Bend Cubs final night time. Hunter Greene (the Reds’ No. 3 prospect, 101 general) and Shane Baz (the Rays’ No. 7 prospect, 106 general) matched up in Montgomery final night time and each regarded nice. Baz has only one stroll mixed in his first two begins (I’ve him projected in reduction) whereas Greene has proven no ill-effects of an apparent supply/posture change exhibited eventually 12 months’s alternate web site. He’s as soon as once more as much as 103 and throwing dozens of pitches above 100 mph in every outing. Pirates’ Taillon commerce return Roansy Contreras had a second dominant begin final night time, working six hitless innings and hanging out 11. He’s been 95-98 thus far this 12 months, means up above 92-96 from 2019. He’s been at that degree all spring and is near shifting into the 50 FV tier.